Match details. AFC Women's Champions League. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 15:30 Lagos time.
Form. Ho Chi Minh City FC have won five, drawn none and lost four of their last nine, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. East Bengal FC have won five, drawn one and lost two of their last eight, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L.
The numbers. Ho Chi Minh City FC score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Ho Chi Minh City FC average 9.0 shots (2.2 on target) and 4.8 corners a game. East Bengal FC score 2.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. East Bengal FC average 5.7 shots (1.8 on target), 1.5 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 31% against the records' 54%.
The read. No firm call: East Bengal FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make East Bengal FC the likelier winners; East Bengal FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour East Bengal FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, rated 88% (Ho Chi Minh City FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9; East Bengal FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). Predicted score: Ho Chi Minh City FC 1-2 East Bengal FC (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (East Bengal FC the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. The Champions League: the best against the best, and the two league tables cannot be compared. East Bengal FC in their last continental games: drew 0-0 at Al-Seeb, lost 2-3 v Al Shorta SC, drew 2-2 at Al Hussein Irbid. Too few continental games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).