Match details. Seconde Ligue, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. AS Saint-Etienne have won three, drawn two and lost none of their last five league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W D D. AJ Auxerre have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L W W.
The numbers. AS Saint-Etienne score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game over their last five, with two clean sheets. AJ Auxerre score two and concede two a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets.
The read. AS Saint-Etienne to win. An open game. AS Saint-Etienne are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AS Saint-Etienne. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, rated 91% (AS Saint-Etienne: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5; AJ Auxerre: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Predicted score: AS Saint-Etienne 2-1 AJ Auxerre (8% chance).
The agreed story. AS Saint-Etienne or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).