Match details. Seconde Ligue, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. RC Roubaix Wervicq have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W W D. Grenoble Foot 38 have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D L L.
The numbers. RC Roubaix Wervicq score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game over their last five, with two clean sheets. Grenoble Foot 38 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Grenoble Foot 38 the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour RC Roubaix Wervicq. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: RC Roubaix Wervicq 1-1 Grenoble Foot 38 (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Grenoble Foot 38 the favourite), goals in between.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).