Match details. Premiere Ligue, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Paris FC W have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L. Paris Saint-Germain W have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W.
The numbers. Paris FC W score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Paris FC W average 4.5 shots (1.8 on target), 1.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Paris Saint-Germain W score 1.7 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Paris Saint-Germain W average 7.2 shots (3.5 on target), 2.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
The case against. Paris FC W's record still gives them 44% to win.
The read. Paris Saint-Germain W to win. A tight game. Paris Saint-Germain W are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Paris Saint-Germain W. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Paris Saint-Germain W Over 0.5 Goals (Paris FC W's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Paris Saint-Germain W or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Paris FC W 0-1 Paris Saint-Germain W (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).