OFI vs Panathinaikos

Match details. Super League, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.

Form. OFI have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. Panathinaikos have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.

The numbers. OFI score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. OFI average 9.8 shots (2.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Panathinaikos score 1.5 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Panathinaikos average 9.2 shots (4.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 92% against the records' 62%.

The read. No firm call: Panathinaikos are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Panathinaikos are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Panathinaikos. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: OFI 1-1 Panathinaikos (14% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Panathinaikos the favourite), a tight game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Panathinaikos in their last cup games: won 2-1 v Aris Thessaloniki, won 2-0 at AE Kifisia FC, won 1-0 v Niki Volou 1924 PAE (a division below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.