AE Kifisia Wfc vs AEK Athens
Match details. Super League, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 11:30 Lagos time.
Form. AE Kifisia Wfc have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. AEK Athens have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W.
The numbers. AE Kifisia Wfc score 1.3 and concede 2.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. AE Kifisia Wfc average 6.2 shots (2.9 on target), 2.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game. AEK Athens score 1.9 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. AEK Athens average 11.6 shots (5.2 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 93% against the records' 60%.
The read. No firm call: AEK Athens are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make AEK Athens the likelier winners; AEK Athens are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AEK Athens. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AE Kifisia Wfc 1-2 AEK Athens (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (AEK Athens the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. AEK Athens in their last cup games: lost 1-3 at PAOK, won 8-1 v Panserraikos FC (a division below), won 2-0 at Nestos Chrysoupoli FC (a division below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).