Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. ASEC Mimosas are 16th on 2 points after 3 games, level on points with AFAD. A win would take them above AFAD. FC San Pedro are 8th on 6 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Mouna, 1 point clear of Stella. A win would take them above Mouna.
Form. ASEC Mimosas have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L. FC San Pedro have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L.
The numbers. ASEC Mimosas score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. ASEC Mimosas average 7.2 shots (2.8 on target), 2.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game. FC San Pedro score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings ASEC Mimosas have won six, drawn three and lost one. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, ASEC Mimosas won four. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished ASEC Mimosas 2-0 FC San Pedro.
Where it pulls both ways. FC San Pedro are the form side, but the meetings favour ASEC Mimosas: in the last ten meetings, ASEC Mimosas won six, FC San Pedro won one and three were drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 2.5 Goals at 1.35, 75% on the records (ASEC Mimosas: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 6; FC San Pedro: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6). Leave: ASEC Mimosas or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC San Pedro or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: ASEC Mimosas 1-1 FC San Pedro (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).