Match details. Botola Pro D2, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade El Bachir, Mohammedia.
What's at stake. Chabab Mohammedia are 15th on 2 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Union Sportive Boujaad, 1 point clear of Riadi Salmi. A win would take them above Union Sportive Boujaad. Stade Marocain are 9th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with Chabab Ben Guerir, 1 point clear of KAC Kenitra. A win would take them above Chabab Ben Guerir.
Form. Chabab Mohammedia have won none, drawn two and lost three of their last five, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L. Stade Marocain have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L.
The numbers. Chabab Mohammedia score 0.4 and concede 1.4 a game over their last five, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Stade Marocain score one and concede one a game over their last five, with one clean sheet.
Head to head. Stade Marocain have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 20 Jun 2026, it finished Chabab Mohammedia 0-1 Stade Marocain.
The case against. Chabab Mohammedia's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Stade Marocain to win. A tight game. Stade Marocain are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Stade Marocain. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 20%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Chabab Mohammedia 0-1 Stade Marocain (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).