Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:15 Lagos time.
Form. Gor Mahia FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. Kenya Commercial Bank have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W.
The numbers. Gor Mahia FC score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Gor Mahia FC average 8.7 shots (3.0 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Kenya Commercial Bank score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Kenya Commercial Bank average 10.0 shots (3.4 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
The case against. Kenya Commercial Bank's record still gives them 26% to win.
The read. Gor Mahia FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Gor Mahia FC the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Gor Mahia FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Gor Mahia FC 1-0 Kenya Commercial Bank (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).