Match details. Gamma Ethniki, Group 4 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Pierikos FC are 6th on 5 points after 4 games, 3 points behind Elassona, level on points with Karitsa. A win would take them level on points with Elassona. AO Anthoupolis Larisas are 2nd on 10 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Trikala, 1 point clear of Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou. A win would take them above Trikala.
Form. Pierikos FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L. AO Anthoupolis Larisas have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D.
The numbers. Pierikos FC score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Pierikos FC average 12.0 shots (3.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game. AO Anthoupolis Larisas score 1.5 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. AO Anthoupolis Larisas average 8.4 shots (3.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. Pierikos FC have won all of the last two meetings. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 12 Feb 2025, it finished Pierikos FC 1-0 AO Anthoupolis Larisas.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 21% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: AO Anthoupolis Larisas are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AO Anthoupolis Larisas the likelier winners; AO Anthoupolis Larisas are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AO Anthoupolis Larisas. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Pierikos FC 0-1 AO Anthoupolis Larisas (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).