Match details. Gamma Ethniki, Group 2 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Makedonikos FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L. Iraklis Thermaikou have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D.
The numbers. Makedonikos FC score 1.5 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Makedonikos FC average 6.6 shots (2.9 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Iraklis Thermaikou score one and concede 0.4 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and four games without a goal. Iraklis Thermaikou average 14.3 shots (4.3 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The read. Iraklis Thermaikou to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Iraklis Thermaikou the likelier winners; Iraklis Thermaikou are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Iraklis Thermaikou. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Makedonikos FC 0-1 Iraklis Thermaikou (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).