Match details. Gamma Ethniki, Group 8 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Ethnikos OFPF are 6th on 4 points after 5 games, 3 points behind Diagoras, level on points with Ionikos. A win would take them level on points with Diagoras. Ionikos Nikea FC are 7th on 4 points after 5 games, level on points with Ethnikos Piraeus, level on points with Proodeftiki. A win would take them above Ethnikos Piraeus.
Form. Ethnikos OFPF have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. Ionikos Nikea FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L.
The numbers. Ethnikos OFPF score 0.7 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Ethnikos OFPF average 9.1 shots (2.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.5 cards a game. Ionikos Nikea FC score 0.7 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ionikos Nikea FC average 8.4 shots (2.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Ethnikos OFPF have won one, drawn one and lost one. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 8 Apr 2026, it finished Ethnikos OFPF 1-1 Ionikos Nikea FC.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 20%. Two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.24, 78% on the records (Ethnikos OFPF: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; Ionikos Nikea FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Leave: Ethnikos OFPF or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Ionikos Nikea FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ethnikos OFPF 1-1 Ionikos Nikea FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).