Match details. Gamma Ethniki. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Atromitos Patron have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. Aris Filiaton have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W.
The numbers. Atromitos Patron score 2.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last five, with three clean sheets. Atromitos Patron average 13.2 shots (7.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 40% of the ball. Aris Filiaton score one and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Aris Filiaton average 10.8 shots (2.8 on target), 4.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The case against. Aris Filiaton's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Atromitos Patron to win. Atromitos Patron are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atromitos Patron.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Atromitos Patron 2-1 Aris Filiaton (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).