Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 19. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Moyale Barracks are 9th on 22 points after 18 games, 1 point behind Masters FC, level on points with Red Lions. A win would take them above Masters FC. Karonga United FC are 13th on 18 points after 17 games, 2 points behind Dedza Dynamos, 1 point clear of Creck. A win would take them above Dedza Dynamos.
Form. Moyale Barracks have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D. In this competition Moyale Barracks have gone D L L W D L. Karonga United FC have won two, drawn three and lost four of their last nine, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D L. In this competition Karonga United FC have gone D W D D L L.
The numbers. Moyale Barracks score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Moyale Barracks average 4.3 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Karonga United FC score 0.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Karonga United FC average 3.9 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 28 Jun 2026, it finished Moyale Barracks 0-0 Karonga United FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Moyale Barracks are the form side, but the meetings favour Karonga United FC: in the last ten meetings, Moyale Barracks won three, Karonga United FC won four and three were drawn.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Moyale Barracks 1-1 Karonga United FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).