AL Mabarrah vs Reyady Abaseya
AL Mabarrah scored under 1.5 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Reyady Abaseya conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · AL Mabarrah: only games against sides at Reyady Abaseya's level · Reyady Abaseya: only games against sides at AL Mabarrah's level
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 13:15 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AL Mabarrah are 9th on 3 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Al Hikma, 2 points clear of Shabab Al Sahel. A win would take them above Al Hikma. Reyady Abaseya are 12th on 0 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Al Akhaa Al Ahli. A win would take them above Al Akhaa Al Ahli.
Form. AL Mabarrah have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Reyady Abaseya have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. AL Mabarrah score 0.5 and concede 2.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. AL Mabarrah average 6.6 shots (2.4 on target), 2.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Reyady Abaseya score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Reyady Abaseya average 9.9 shots (5.2 on target), 3.5 corners and 0.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings AL Mabarrah have won none, drawn two and lost none. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 7 Feb 2026, it finished AL Mabarrah 0-0 Reyady Abaseya.
The case against. AL Mabarrah's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. Reyady Abaseya to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Reyady Abaseya the likelier winners; Reyady Abaseya are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Reyady Abaseya. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.31, 71% on the records (AL Mabarrah: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7; Reyady Abaseya: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7). Full cover: AL Mabarrah Under 1.5 Goals at 1.38. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Reyady Abaseya Over 1.5 goals (Reyady Abaseya's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AL Mabarrah 1-2 Reyady Abaseya (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).