Fluminense FC RJ vs CR Vasco da Gama RJ
Match details. Carioca, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Fluminense FC RJ have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. CR Vasco da Gama RJ have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.
The numbers. Fluminense FC RJ score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Fluminense FC RJ average 13.1 shots (5.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CR Vasco da Gama RJ score three and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. CR Vasco da Gama RJ average 18.9 shots (9.2 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 19% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: CR Vasco da Gama RJ are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make CR Vasco da Gama RJ the likelier winners; CR Vasco da Gama RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CR Vasco da Gama RJ. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Fluminense FC RJ 1-2 CR Vasco da Gama RJ (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (CR Vasco da Gama RJ the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. CR Vasco da Gama RJ in their last cup games: won 2-0 at EC Vitoria BA, won 1-0 v EC Vitoria BA. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).