Match details. Baiano, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Jacobina EC have won five, drawn one and lost one of their last seven, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. EC Bahia BA have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D.
The numbers. Jacobina EC score 7.3 and concede 0.9 a game over their last seven, with five clean sheets. Jacobina EC average 28.0 shots (14.2 on target), 7.5 corners and 0.5 cards a game. EC Bahia BA score 3.5 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. EC Bahia BA average 15.5 shots (6.3 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Jacobina EC are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour EC Bahia BA.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 100%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Jacobina EC 2-2 EC Bahia BA (7% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Jacobina EC the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).