SS Pennarossa vs San Marino Academy
Match details. Campionato Sammarinese, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. SS Pennarossa are 14th on 4 points after 6 games, level on points with Murata, 1 point clear of Faetano. A win would take them above Murata. San Marino Academy are 16th on 2 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Faetano. A win would take them above Faetano.
Form. SS Pennarossa have won one, drawn two and lost four of their last seven league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L W L L. San Marino Academy have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L D D.
The numbers. SS Pennarossa score 1.6 and concede 3.4 a game over their last seven, with no clean sheets. San Marino Academy score 0.2 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. San Marino Academy average 3.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings SS Pennarossa have won one, drawn one and lost four. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, SS Pennarossa won one, one was drawn and San Marino Academy won two. The last time they met, on 1 Mar 2026, it finished SS Pennarossa 1-1 San Marino Academy.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: SS Pennarossa are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour San Marino Academy.
The case against. San Marino Academy's record still gives them 40% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. SS Pennarossa or the draw. An open game. SS Pennarossa are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour San Marino Academy. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%. Four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SS Pennarossa 2-1 San Marino Academy (9% chance).
The agreed story. SS Pennarossa or the draw, an open game.
The league run. SS Pennarossa: up and down in the league (D L W L L).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).