STSPT

15:00Sat 31 Oct

SSM

SP Tre Fiori vs SS Murata

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Campionato Sammarinese, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. SP Tre Fiori are 4th on 13 points after 6 games, 3 points behind Tre Penne, level on points with Cosmos. A win would take them level on points with Tre Penne. SS Murata are 13th on 4 points after 6 games, level on points with San Giovanni, level on points with Pennarossa. A win would take them above San Giovanni.

Form. SP Tre Fiori have won four, drawn one and lost one of their last six league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W L W W. SS Murata have won one, drawn one and lost six of their last eight league games, 0.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L L W.

The numbers. SP Tre Fiori score 2.5 and concede 0.8 a game over their last six, with four clean sheets. SP Tre Fiori average 12.6 shots (5.6 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. SS Murata score 1.1 and concede three a game over their last eight, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. SS Murata average 2.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings SP Tre Fiori have won five, drawn two and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, SP Tre Fiori won four. The last time they met, on 8 Apr 2026, it finished SP Tre Fiori 3-0 SS Murata.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 95% against the records' 70%.

The read. No firm call: SP Tre Fiori are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make SP Tre Fiori the likelier winners; SP Tre Fiori are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SP Tre Fiori; the meetings favour SP Tre Fiori.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SP Tre Fiori 2-0 SS Murata (11% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (SP Tre Fiori the favourite), goals in between.

The league run. SP Tre Fiori: one defeat in their last five league games (D W L W W). SS Murata: no win in their last three league games (D L L L W).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

SP TRE FIORI GOALS

SP Tre Fiori Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 5 of 6 (83%) · SSM 8 of 8 (100%)68.5%

SP Tre Fiori scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · SS Murata conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 5 of 6 · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at SS Murata's level · SS Murata: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level

SP Tre Fiori Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 4 of 6 (67%) · SSM 7 of 8 (88%)41.5%

SP Tre Fiori scored over 1.5 in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · SS Murata conceded over 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 4 of 6 · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at SS Murata's level · SS Murata: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); SP Tre Fiori or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (SP Tre Fiori are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (SP Tre Fiori are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); SP Tre Fiori or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–0 11.3%

SP Tre Fiori goals →

SS Murata goals ↓

0-06%

1-011%

2-011%

3-08%

4-04%

5-02%

0-14%

1-110%

2-110%

3-17%

4-13%

5-11%

0-22%

1-24%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.6%

0-30.6%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.4%

5-30.2%

0-40.1%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SP TRE FIORILDWWWWLWDW2.00 PPG

SS MURATALLLWLLLLDL0.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SP TRE FIORI HOMExSS MURATA AWAY

2.30SCORED A GAME0.901.20CONCEDED A GAME3.0060%CLEAN SHEETS0%17%FAILED TO SCORE67%3.00CORNERS A GAME0.001.80CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

SP TRE FIORI OR DRAW (1UP)

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137 OF 146

PRICE NOT KEPT

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.17POINTS A GAME0.67+1.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.50–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.86LEAGUE GAMES6

SP Tre Fiori: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

SP TRE FIORI 2:0 HANDICAP

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389 OF 413

PRICE NOT KEPT

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

69%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

60%

NO · 85/90

SP TRE FIORI OR DRAW

65%

NO · 80/85

SS MURATA OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SP TRE FIORIxSS MURATA

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.200.60CONCEDED A GAME2.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

SP TRE FIORI 5 · 50%DRAW 2SS MURATA 3 · 30%

1 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

5 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-11-05SP Tre Fiori 1 – 0 SS Murata

2023-03-07SP Tre Fiori 0 – 1 SS Murata

2023-12-10SP Tre Fiori 0 – 0 SS Murata

2024-03-16SP Tre Fiori 0 – 1 SS Murata

2024-04-27SP Tre Fiori 0 – 0 SS Murata

2024-04-30SP Tre Fiori 1 – 2 SS Murata

2024-11-02SP Tre Fiori 2 – 0 SS Murata

2025-03-01SP Tre Fiori 2 – 0 SS Murata

TRENDS

SP Tre Fiori have scored in 80% of their games.

SS Murata have scored in 40% of their games.

SP Tre Fiori kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

SS Murata kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards