Match details. Campionato Sammarinese, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. SP La Fiorita are 6th on 10 points after 6 games, 3 points behind Cosmos, 2 points clear of Fiorentino. A win would take them level on points with Cosmos. AC Libertas are 8th on 8 points after 6 games, level on points with Fiorentino, 1 point clear of Domagnano. A win would take them above Fiorentino.
Form. SP La Fiorita have won two, drawn four and lost none of their last six league games, 1.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W D D. AC Libertas have won two, drawn two and lost three of their last seven league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W D L W.
The numbers. SP La Fiorita score 1.2 and concede 0.5 a game over their last six, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. SP La Fiorita average 9.7 shots (2.8 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game. AC Libertas score one and concede 2.4 a game over their last seven, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings SP La Fiorita have won five, drawn four and lost one. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, SP La Fiorita won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished SP La Fiorita 2-2 AC Libertas.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 66% against the records' 43%.
The read. No firm call: SP La Fiorita are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make SP La Fiorita the likelier winners; SP La Fiorita are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour SP La Fiorita.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: SP La Fiorita 1-1 AC Libertas (12% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (SP La Fiorita the favourite), a tight game. The app, the Bank and the tipsters together.
The league run. SP La Fiorita: unbeaten in their last five league games (D W W D D). AC Libertas: up and down in the league (L W D L W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).