Match details. Australian Championship, Group Stage - 3. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 05:00 Lagos time. It is played at Lambert Park, Sydney.
What's at stake. APIA Leichhardt are 2nd on 4 points after 2 games. Avondale FC are 3rd on 2 points after 2 games.
Form. APIA Leichhardt have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. Avondale FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition Avondale FC have gone L.
The numbers. APIA Leichhardt score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. APIA Leichhardt average 13.9 shots (6.0 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Avondale FC score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Avondale FC average 11.4 shots (5.8 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: APIA Leichhardt 1-1 Avondale FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).