SC Corinthians SP vs Cruzeiro EC MG
Match details. CONMEBOL Libertadores, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 01:00 Lagos time.
Form. SC Corinthians SP have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Cruzeiro EC MG have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. SC Corinthians SP score three and concede 0.6 a game in their last seven at home, with four clean sheets. SC Corinthians SP average 13.8 shots (6.9 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Cruzeiro EC MG score four and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets. Cruzeiro EC MG average 15.4 shots (8.2 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 21% against the records' 51%.
The read. No firm call: Cruzeiro EC MG are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Cruzeiro EC MG the likelier winners; Cruzeiro EC MG are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cruzeiro EC MG. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.24, 82% on the records (SC Corinthians SP: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 at home; Cruzeiro EC MG: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Leave: Cruzeiro EC MG Over 0.5 goals (SC Corinthians SP's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: SC Corinthians SP 1-2 Cruzeiro EC MG (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).