INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - AFC WOMEN'S CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

MCMEL

15:30Sun 1 Nov

PFC

Melbourne City FC vs PFC Nasaf

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. AFC Women's Champions League. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 15:30 Lagos time.

Form. Melbourne City FC have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. PFC Nasaf have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.

The numbers. Melbourne City FC score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Melbourne City FC average 10.2 shots (4.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 0.6 cards a game. PFC Nasaf score 2.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last seven away, with four clean sheets. PFC Nasaf average 5.8 shots (3.0 on target), 3.4 corners and 0.8 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Melbourne City FC 1-2 PFC Nasaf (10% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (PFC Nasaf the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. The Champions League: the best against the best, and the two league tables cannot be compared. PFC Nasaf in their last continental games: lost 0-1 v Kuwait SC. Too few continental games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MEL 4 of 5 (80%) · PFC 7 of 7 (100%)91.7%

Melbourne City FC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · PFC Nasaf: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 away · both last 10: 95%

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.16

MEL 3 of 5 (60%) · PFC 6 of 7 (86%)74.6%

Melbourne City FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · PFC Nasaf: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 away · both last 10: 75%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.32

MEL 3 of 5 (60%) · PFC 5 of 7 (71%)68.1%

Melbourne City FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · PFC Nasaf: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 away · both last 10: 70%

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MEL 4 of 5 (80%) · PFC 6 of 7 (86%)81.9%

Melbourne City FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · PFC Nasaf: the bet landed in 6 of 7 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Melbourne City FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); PFC Nasaf or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); PFC Nasaf or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Melbourne City FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Melbourne City FC or PFC Nasaf (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.8%

Melbourne City FC goals →

PFC Nasaf goals ↓

0-07%

1-06%

2-03%

3-01%

4-00.3%

5-00.1%

0-111%

1-112%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-210%

1-210%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-36%

1-36%

2-33%

3-30.9%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.8%

1-50.8%

2-50.4%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

MELBOURNE CITY FCDWWWWWWLWW2.50 PPG

PFC NASAFWWWDLWLWWW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MELBOURNE CITY FC HOMExPFC NASAF AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME3.200.80CONCEDED A GAME0.5040%CLEAN SHEETS60%4.80CORNERS A GAME3.400.60CARDS A GAME0.80

TRENDS

Melbourne City FC have scored in 90% of their games.

PFC Nasaf have scored in 90% of their games.

Melbourne City FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

PFC Nasaf kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards