Match details. Divize F, Group F - 14. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. FK Frydek-Mistek B are 13th on 13 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Pustá Polom, 3 points clear of Břidličná. A win would take them above Pustá Polom. Pusta Polom are 12th on 14 points after 12 games, level on points with Šumperk, 1 point clear of Frydek-Mistek B. A win would take them above Šumperk.
Form. FK Frydek-Mistek B have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. In this competition FK Frydek-Mistek B have gone D W L W W W. Pusta Polom have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W. In this competition Pusta Polom have gone W L D L W L.
The numbers. FK Frydek-Mistek B score 2.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FK Frydek-Mistek B average 7.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Pusta Polom score 1.2 and concede three a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Pusta Polom average 6.7 corners and 4.3 cards a game.
The case against. Pusta Polom's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. FK Frydek-Mistek B to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Frydek-Mistek B the likelier winners; FK Frydek-Mistek B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Frydek-Mistek B. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 88%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.37, 88% on the records (FK Frydek-Mistek B: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Pusta Polom: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). The safer one: FK Frydek-Mistek B or Pusta Polom at 1.21 (95%). Leave: Pusta Polom or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs FK Frydek-Mistek B); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Pusta Polom or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs FK Frydek-Mistek B). Predicted score: FK Frydek-Mistek B 2-1 Pusta Polom (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).