Match details. China League 2, Promotion Group - 29. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 07:30 Lagos time. It is played at Dalian Football Youth Training Base Stadium.
Form. Dalian Kewei have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D. In this competition Dalian Kewei have gone D W D W D W. Jiangxi Lushan have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. In this competition Jiangxi Lushan have gone L D L L W L.
The numbers. Dalian Kewei score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Dalian Kewei average 5.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Jiangxi Lushan score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Jiangxi Lushan average 4.3 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 7 Oct 2026, it finished Dalian Kewei 1-0 Jiangxi Lushan.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 72% against the records' 45%.
The read. No firm call: Dalian Kewei are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Dalian Kewei are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Dalian Kewei. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, 82% on the records (Dalian Kewei: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Jiangxi Lushan: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Leave: Dalian Kewei Over 0.5 Goals (Jiangxi Lushan's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Dalian Kewei 1-1 Jiangxi Lushan (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).