Match details. WE League, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 05:00 Lagos time.
Form. Cerezo Osaka Sakai Ladies have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. Chifure AS Elfen Saitama have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.
The numbers. Cerezo Osaka Sakai Ladies score 1.7 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Cerezo Osaka Sakai Ladies average 10.3 shots (5.1 on target), 6.2 corners and 0.0 cards a game. Chifure AS Elfen Saitama score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Chifure AS Elfen Saitama average 10.3 shots (4.6 on target), 5.3 corners and 0.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Cerezo Osaka Sakai Ladies are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Chifure AS Elfen Saitama.
The case against. Chifure AS Elfen Saitama's record still gives them 49% to win.
The read. Cerezo Osaka Sakai Ladies to win. An open game. Cerezo Osaka Sakai Ladies are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Chifure AS Elfen Saitama. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Cerezo Osaka Sakai Ladies 2-1 Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (8% chance).
The agreed story. Cerezo Osaka Sakai Ladies or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).