Match details. Girabola, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:15 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Wiliete SC are 1st on 19 points after 7 games, 2 points clear of Desportivo Huíla. FC Cabinda are 15th on 4 points after 7 games, 1 point behind FC Luanda, 1 point clear of Académica do Lobito. A win would take them above FC Luanda.
Form. Wiliete SC have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D W. FC Cabinda have won none, drawn four and lost three of their last seven, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D L.
The numbers. Wiliete SC score 2.4 and concede none a game in their last five at home, with five clean sheets. Wiliete SC average 8.6 shots (3.6 on target), 6.6 corners and 1.0 cards a game. FC Cabinda score 0.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last seven, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Cabinda average 4.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Wiliete SC have won six, drawn two and lost one. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Wiliete SC won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 12 Nov 2023, it finished Wiliete SC 1-1 FC Cabinda.
The read. Wiliete SC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Wiliete SC the likelier winners; Wiliete SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Wiliete SC; the meetings favour Wiliete SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Wiliete SC 1-0 FC Cabinda (18% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).