KF Oriku vs KS Beselidhja
Match details. Kategoria e Pare, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 13:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. KF Oriku are 12th on 2 points after 8 games, 4 points behind Burreli. KS Beselidhja are 7th on 11 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Bylis, level on points with Korabi Peshkopi. A win would take them above Bylis.
Form. KF Oriku have won none, drawn two and lost eight of their last ten, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L. KS Beselidhja have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D.
The numbers. KF Oriku score 0.4 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. KF Oriku average 6.5 shots (2.2 on target), 3.1 corners and 3.1 cards a game. KS Beselidhja score none and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. KS Beselidhja average 13.2 shots (5.1 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings KF Oriku have won three, drawn one and lost two. None of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. In the last four, KF Oriku won two and KS Beselidhja won two. The last time they met, on 11 Mar 2023, it finished KF Oriku 1-0 KS Beselidhja.
The case against. KF Oriku's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. KS Beselidhja to win. A tight game. KS Beselidhja are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour KS Beselidhja. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%. Six of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or KS Beselidhja at 1.17, 73% on the records (KS Beselidhja unbeaten in 5 of 8; KF Oriku failed to win 8 of 8). Backup: 2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or KS Beselidhja at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: KS Beselidhja or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); KS Beselidhja or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: KF Oriku 0-1 KS Beselidhja (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).