Ulsan Citizen FC vs Changwon City FC
Match details. K3 League. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 06:00 Lagos time.
Form. Ulsan Citizen FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. Changwon City FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.
The numbers. Ulsan Citizen FC score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Ulsan Citizen FC average 5.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Changwon City FC score 1.4 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Changwon City FC average 6.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 31% against the records' 53%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The read. No firm call: Ulsan Citizen FC are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Ulsan Citizen FC the likelier winners; Ulsan Citizen FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ulsan Citizen FC.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Ulsan Citizen FC or Both Teams Score (the signs point different ways); Changwon City FC Under 1.5 goals (Ulsan Citizen FC's own games don't back it (3 of 7)). Predicted score: Ulsan Citizen FC 1-1 Changwon City FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).