FMFCM

06:00Sun 1 Nov

DAE

FC Mokpo vs Daejeon Korail FC

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. K3 League. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 06:00 Lagos time.

Form. FC Mokpo have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. Daejeon Korail FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W.

The numbers. FC Mokpo score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Mokpo average 2.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Daejeon Korail FC score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Daejeon Korail FC average 2.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FC Mokpo the likelier winners, but Daejeon Korail FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Mokpo.

The case against. FC Mokpo's record still gives them 47% to win.

The read. Daejeon Korail FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Mokpo the likelier winners; Daejeon Korail FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Mokpo. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Daejeon Korail FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Daejeon Korail FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Mokpo 0-1 Daejeon Korail FC (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

FC MOKPO GOALS

FC Mokpo Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.41

FCM 6 of 8 (75%) · DAE 7 of 9 (78%)68%

FC Mokpo scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Daejeon Korail FC conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · FC Mokpo: only games against sides at Daejeon Korail FC's level · Daejeon Korail FC: only games against sides at FC Mokpo's level

DAEJEON KORAIL FC GOALS

Daejeon Korail FC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCM 5 of 9 (56%) · DAE 7 of 8 (88%)69%

Daejeon Korail FC scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Mokpo conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Daejeon Korail FC: only games against sides at FC Mokpo's level · FC Mokpo: only games against sides at Daejeon Korail FC's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Daejeon Korail FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Daejeon Korail FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 7.4%

FC Mokpo goals →

Daejeon Korail FC goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC MOKPODWWLWLLLWD1.40 PPG

DAEJEON KORAIL FCLWLWWLDLLW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC MOKPO HOMExDAEJEON KORAIL FC AWAY

0.96SCORED A GAME1.381.54CONCEDED A GAME0.7910%CLEAN SHEETS20%2.60CORNERS A GAME2.711.40CARDS A GAME2.43

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR DAEJEON KORAIL FC (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.17POINTS A GAME1.00-0.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.43–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.26LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

20%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

FC MOKPO OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

DAEJEON KORAIL FC OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC MOKPOxDAEJEON KORAIL FC

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.601.00CONCEDED A GAME1.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FC Mokpo have scored in 80% of their games.

Daejeon Korail FC have scored in 50% of their games.

FC Mokpo kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Daejeon Korail FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards