Newcastle vs Everton
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne. The referee is John Brooks.
What's at stake. Newcastle are 12th on 11 points after 8 games, level on points with Leeds, level on points with Ipswich. A win would take them above Leeds. Everton are 14th on 10 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Ipswich, 1 point clear of Fulham. A win would take them above Ipswich.
Team news. Newcastle are without E. Jaouen (muscle injury), V. Livramento (knee injury), M. Fernandez-Pardo (illness), L. Miley (muscle injury), W. Osula (ankle injury), E. Jaouen (muscle injury). Everton are without J. Grealish (coach's decision), J. Grealish (coach's decision).
Form. Newcastle have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. Everton have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W.
The numbers. Newcastle score 1.5 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Newcastle average 13.4 shots (4.4 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Everton score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Everton average 13.3 shots (5.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Newcastle have won three, drawn two and lost four. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Newcastle won one and Everton won three. The last time they met, on 29 Oct 2026, it finished Newcastle 1-3 Everton: Newcastle had 28 shots to 11, 56% of the ball, eight yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Newcastle the likelier winners, but Everton are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Everton. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Everton's record still gives them 34% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Newcastle or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Newcastle the likelier winners; Everton are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Everton. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.50, 72% on the records (Newcastle: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 7; Everton: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Newcastle or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Newcastle 1-1 Everton (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).