Match details. 3. Division, Group 3. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Stord FK have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. Sogndal 2 have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Stord FK score 2.8 and concede three a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Stord FK average 1.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Sogndal 2 score 2.6 and concede 2.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Sogndal 2 average 4.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The case against. Sogndal 2's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Stord FK to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Stord FK the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Stord FK. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 93%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Stord FK or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Sogndal 2 or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Stord FK); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Stord FK 2-1 Sogndal 2 (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).