Match details. 1.Liga. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Jfk Ventspils have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. Rezeknes Fa/Bjss have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D.
The numbers. Jfk Ventspils score 0.5 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Jfk Ventspils average 6.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Rezeknes Fa/Bjss score 0.5 and concede 4.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Rezeknes Fa/Bjss average 2.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. Rezeknes Fa/Bjss's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Jfk Ventspils to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Jfk Ventspils the likelier winners; Jfk Ventspils are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Jfk Ventspils. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Jfk Ventspils 2-1 Rezeknes Fa/Bjss (10% chance).
The agreed story. Jfk Ventspils or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).