Match details. 1.Liga. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. FK Smiltene/Bjss have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. Marupes SC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D W.
The numbers. FK Smiltene/Bjss score two and concede three a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FK Smiltene/Bjss average 3.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Marupes SC score 1.4 and concede two a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Marupes SC average 5.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The case against. Marupes SC's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. FK Smiltene/Bjss or the draw. An open game. Both teams' records favour FK Smiltene/Bjss. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.38, rated 78% (FK Smiltene/Bjss: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Marupes SC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10). Predicted score: FK Smiltene/Bjss 2-2 Marupes SC (7% chance).
The agreed story. FK Smiltene/Bjss or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FK Smiltene/Bjss or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
FKS 4 of 5 (80%) · MAR 6 of 8 (75%)86%
FK Smiltene/Bjss scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Marupes SC trailed or failed to win in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FK Smiltene/Bjss: only games against sides at Marupes SC's level · Marupes SC: only games against sides at FK Smiltene/Bjss's level
FK Smiltene/Bjss or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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FKS 5 of 5 (100%) · MAR 8 of 10 (80%)85.4%
FK Smiltene/Bjss: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Marupes SC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · FK Smiltene/Bjss: only games against sides at Marupes SC's level · Marupes SC: only games against sides at FK Smiltene/Bjss's level
FK Smiltene/Bjss or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
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FKS 4 of 5 (80%) · MAR 7 of 10 (70%)77.7%
FK Smiltene/Bjss: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Marupes SC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · FK Smiltene/Bjss: only games against sides at Marupes SC's level · Marupes SC: only games against sides at FK Smiltene/Bjss's level
FK Smiltene/Bjss 1UPPAGE ONLY
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FKS 4 of 5 (80%) · MAR 6 of 8 (75%)59.6%
FK Smiltene/Bjss scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Marupes SC trailed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FK Smiltene/Bjss: only games against sides at Marupes SC's level · Marupes SC: only games against sides at FK Smiltene/Bjss's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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FKS 5 of 5 (100%) · MAR 8 of 10 (80%)90%
FK Smiltene/Bjss: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Marupes SC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · FK Smiltene/Bjss: only games against sides at Marupes SC's level · Marupes SC: only games against sides at FK Smiltene/Bjss's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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FKS 5 of 5 (100%) · MAR 7 of 10 (70%)86%
FK Smiltene/Bjss: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Marupes SC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · FK Smiltene/Bjss: only games against sides at Marupes SC's level · Marupes SC: only games against sides at FK Smiltene/Bjss's level
Over 2.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.38
FKS 5 of 5 (100%) · MAR 6 of 10 (60%)79.3%
FK Smiltene/Bjss: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Marupes SC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · FK Smiltene/Bjss: only games against sides at Marupes SC's level · Marupes SC: only games against sides at FK Smiltene/Bjss's level
FK SMILTENE/BJSS GOALS
FK Smiltene/Bjss Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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FKS 4 of 5 (80%) · MAR 7 of 10 (70%)76.7%
FK Smiltene/Bjss scored in 4 of 5 at home · Marupes SC conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · FK Smiltene/Bjss: only games against sides at Marupes SC's level · Marupes SC: only games against sides at FK Smiltene/Bjss's level
Left off the list: FK Smiltene/Bjss or Draw & Over 1.5 (the numbers (56%) and the records (50%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–27.3%
FK Smiltene/Bjss goals →
Marupes SC goals ↓
0-02%
1-03%
2-04%
3-02%
4-01%
5-00.5%
0-13%
1-18%
2-17%
3-15%
4-12%
5-11%
0-24%
1-27%
2-27%
3-25%
4-23%
5-21%
0-32%
1-35%
2-35%
3-33%
4-32%
5-30.7%
0-41%
1-42%
2-43%
3-42%
4-40.9%
5-40.3%
0-50.5%
1-51%
2-51%
3-50.7%
4-50.3%
5-50.1%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
FK SMILTENE/BJSSWDWWWLLLLW1.60 PPG
MARUPES SCLDWDWLLWLL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FK SMILTENE/BJSS HOMExMARUPES SC AWAY
1.54SCORED A GAME1.582.58CONCEDED A GAME1.6780%BOTH SCORED50%10%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.65CORNERS A GAME5.502.80CARDS A GAME2.35
TRENDS
FK Smiltene/Bjss have scored in 90% of their games.
Marupes SC have scored in 60% of their games.
FK Smiltene/Bjss kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Marupes SC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards