NHNAE

12:30Sat 31 Oct

ESB

Naestved HG vs Esbjerg FB

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. B Liga, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.

Form. Naestved HG have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W W D. Esbjerg FB have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten league games, 0.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L L.

The numbers. Naestved HG score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Naestved HG average 1.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game. Esbjerg FB score 1.3 and concede 2.9 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 95% against the records' 68%.

The read. No firm call: Naestved HG are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Naestved HG the likelier winners; Naestved HG are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Naestved HG. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Naestved HG 2-1 Esbjerg FB (10% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Naestved HG the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Esbjerg FB in their last cup games: lost 0-1 v Nordsjaelland (a division above), won 5-0 at HIK Hellerup (a division below), won 5-1 at Skive IK (a division below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Naestved HG or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

NAE 4 of 5 (80%) · ESB 10 of 10 (100%)73.7%

Naestved HG: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Esbjerg FB: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Naestved HG: only games against sides at Esbjerg FB's level · Esbjerg FB: only games against sides at Naestved HG's level

Naestved HG or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NAE 3 of 5 (60%) · ESB 10 of 10 (100%)65.3%

Naestved HG: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Esbjerg FB: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Naestved HG: only games against sides at Esbjerg FB's level · Esbjerg FB: only games against sides at Naestved HG's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NAE 5 of 5 (100%) · ESB 10 of 10 (100%)97%

Naestved HG: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Esbjerg FB: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Naestved HG: only games against sides at Esbjerg FB's level · Esbjerg FB: only games against sides at Naestved HG's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NAE 3 of 5 (60%) · ESB 10 of 10 (100%)82.7%

Naestved HG: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Esbjerg FB: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Naestved HG: only games against sides at Esbjerg FB's level · Esbjerg FB: only games against sides at Naestved HG's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NAE 2 of 5 (40%) · ESB 10 of 10 (100%)70%

Naestved HG: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Esbjerg FB: over 2.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Naestved HG: only games against sides at Esbjerg FB's level · Esbjerg FB: only games against sides at Naestved HG's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NAE 3 of 5 (60%) · ESB 9 of 10 (90%)76%

Naestved HG: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Esbjerg FB: both scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Naestved HG: only games against sides at Esbjerg FB's level · Esbjerg FB: only games against sides at Naestved HG's level

NAESTVED HG GOALS

Naestved HG Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NAE 4 of 5 (80%) · ESB 10 of 10 (100%)91.7%

Naestved HG scored in 4 of 5 at home · Esbjerg FB conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Naestved HG: only games against sides at Esbjerg FB's level · Esbjerg FB: only games against sides at Naestved HG's level

ESBJERG FB GOALS

Esbjerg FB Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ESB 9 of 10 (90%) · NAE 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%

Esbjerg FB scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Naestved HG conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Esbjerg FB: only games against sides at Naestved HG's level · Naestved HG: only games against sides at Esbjerg FB's level

Left off the list: Naestved HG Over 1.5 Goals (Naestved HG's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

Naestved HG goals →

Esbjerg FB goals ↓

0-05%

1-08%

2-08%

3-05%

4-03%

5-01%

0-14%

1-110%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-23%

1-26%

2-26%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.8%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-32%

4-30.8%

5-30.3%

0-40.3%

1-40.7%

2-40.7%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

NAESTVED HGWWWWDLLLWW1.90 PPG

ESBJERG FBLLLLLLLLLD0.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NAESTVED HG HOMExESBJERG FB AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME1.300.90CONCEDED A GAME2.9060%BOTH SCORED90%30%CLEAN SHEETS0%

TRENDS

Naestved HG have scored in 90% of their games.

Esbjerg FB have scored in 90% of their games.

Naestved HG kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Esbjerg FB kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards