Skanstes SK vs FK Metta / Lu
Match details. 1.Liga. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Skanstes SK have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. FK Metta / Lu have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Skanstes SK score 3.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Skanstes SK average 5.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game. FK Metta / Lu score 2.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. FK Metta / Lu average 7.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 94% against the records' 63%.
The read. No firm call: FK Metta / Lu are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Metta / Lu the likelier winners; FK Metta / Lu are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Metta / Lu. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Skanstes SK 2-2 FK Metta / Lu (7% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (FK Metta / Lu the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).