Olympiakos Hersonisou vs Ergotelis
Match details. Gamma Ethniki. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Olympiakos Hersonisou have won one, drawn none and lost four of their last five, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. Ergotelis have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D.
The numbers. Olympiakos Hersonisou score 0.6 and concede 3.2 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Olympiakos Hersonisou average 4.7 shots (1.7 on target), 3.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Ergotelis score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Ergotelis average 12.8 shots (6.8 on target), 6.5 corners and 3.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 80% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Ergotelis are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Ergotelis the likelier winners; Ergotelis are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ergotelis. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Olympiakos Hersonisou 1-2 Ergotelis (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).