Match details. II Divisao, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Ouriense have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. Sporting Cp B have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W.
The numbers. CA Ouriense score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. CA Ouriense average 9.2 shots (3.3 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Sporting Cp B score 3.6 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets. Sporting Cp B average 15.6 shots (6.3 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The read. Sporting Cp B to win. Their goals for and against make Sporting Cp B the likelier winners; Sporting Cp B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sporting Cp B.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Sporting Cp B at 1.13, rated 88% (Sporting Cp B unbeaten in 5 of 5 away; CA Ouriense failed to win 8 of 10). Predicted score: CA Ouriense 0-2 Sporting Cp B (12% chance).
The agreed story. Sporting Cp B or the draw, goals in between.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).