CF Uniao de Lamas vs AD Sanjoanense
Match details. Campeonato de Portugal, Group B - 7. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. CF Uniao de Lamas have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. AD Sanjoanense have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L.
The numbers. CF Uniao de Lamas score 0.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CF Uniao de Lamas average 8.8 shots (3.6 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game. AD Sanjoanense score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. AD Sanjoanense average 12.7 shots (5.2 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CF Uniao de Lamas the likelier winners, but AD Sanjoanense are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AD Sanjoanense or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); AD Sanjoanense or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); AD Sanjoanense Over 0.5 Goals (CF Uniao de Lamas's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: CF Uniao de Lamas 1-1 AD Sanjoanense (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).