Real SC Queluz vs 1 Dezembro
Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Real SC Queluz have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D L. 1 Dezembro have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L.
The numbers. Real SC Queluz score 2.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Real SC Queluz average 10.9 shots (3.9 on target), 2.9 corners and 2.9 cards a game. 1 Dezembro score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. 1 Dezembro average 10.4 shots (3.2 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 22%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Real SC Queluz 1-1 1 Dezembro (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).