Match details. 1. Liga, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 11:30 Lagos time.
Form. Banik Ostrava have won one, drawn one and lost seven of their last nine league games, 0.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L W. FC Viktoria Plzen have won four, drawn none and lost five of their last nine league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L L W.
The numbers. Banik Ostrava score one and concede three a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. Banik Ostrava average 5.6 shots (1.8 on target), 2.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game. FC Viktoria Plzen score 1.2 and concede 2.3 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Viktoria Plzen average 8.2 shots (3.8 on target), 6.0 corners and 0.2 cards a game.
The case against. Banik Ostrava's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. FC Viktoria Plzen to win. An open game. FC Viktoria Plzen are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Viktoria Plzen. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Banik Ostrava 1-2 FC Viktoria Plzen (8% chance).
The agreed story. FC Viktoria Plzen or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).