INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

SPSLA

21:00Wed 4 Nov

ARS

ARS

Slavia Prague vs Arsenal

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. UEFA Champions League, League Stage - 4. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sinobo Stadium, Prague. The referee is Tobias Stieler.

What's at stake. Slavia Prague are 32nd on 1 point after 3 games, 1 point behind Fenerbahçe, level on points with Viking. A win would take them above Fenerbahçe. Arsenal are 9th on 7 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Bayern München, level on points with VfB Stuttgart. A win would take them above Bayern München.

Team news. Slavia Prague are without T. Chory (coach's decision), H. Kante (off the roster), O. Kolar (off the roster), I. Ogbu (achilles tendon injury), A. Ouanda (injury), I. Schranz (illness). Arsenal are without B. Saka (thigh injury), W. Saliba (back injury), B. Saka (thigh injury), W. Saliba (back injury).

Form. Slavia Prague have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D D. Arsenal have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W.

The numbers. Slavia Prague score 2.2 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Slavia Prague average 17.8 shots (6.2 on target), 7.5 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Arsenal score 1.6 and concede 1.1 a game in their last seven away, with three clean sheets. Arsenal average 11.8 shots (4.0 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last three meetings Slavia Prague have won none, drawn one and lost two. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 4 Nov 2025, it finished Slavia Prague 0-3 Arsenal: Slavia Prague had 9 shots to 14, 43% of the ball, seven yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Slavia Prague the likelier winners, but Slavia Prague are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Arsenal.

The case against. Slavia Prague's record still gives them 31% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their xG points to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%. Not everything agrees on goals: two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.

The read. Arsenal to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Slavia Prague the likelier winners; Slavia Prague are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Arsenal.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Arsenal or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Slavia Prague 0-2 Arsenal (2% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Arsenal or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.13

94.2%

a proven pattern for games read like this one (team or over 2.5)

GOALS

Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.50

78.3%

a proven pattern for games read like this one (over 2.5)

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.17

SLA 8 of 10 (80%) · ARS 6 of 7 (86%)85.9%

Slavia Prague: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Arsenal: the bet landed in 6 of 7 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.28

SLA 7 of 10 (70%) · ARS 5 of 7 (71%)68.5%

Slavia Prague: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Arsenal: the bet landed in 5 of 7 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Arsenal or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Arsenal Over 0.5 goals (Slavia Prague's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Arsenal are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Arsenal are a clear winner - no Unders); Arsenal or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–2 1.8%

Slavia Prague goals →

Arsenal goals ↓

0-02%

1-03%

2-04%

3-04%

4-03%

5-01%

0-12%

1-16%

2-18%

3-17%

4-15%

5-13%

0-22%

1-25%

2-26%

3-26%

4-24%

5-22%

0-31%

1-33%

2-34%

3-33%

4-32%

5-31%

0-40.4%

1-41%

2-42%

3-41%

4-41.0%

5-40.5%

0-50.1%

1-50.4%

2-50.5%

3-50.5%

4-50.3%

5-50.2%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SLAVIA PRAGUEWWWWLDDDWW2.10 PPG

ARSENALWWLWWWDWDW2.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SLAVIA PRAGUE HOMExARSENAL AWAY

2.20SCORED A GAME1.800.70CONCEDED A GAME0.9050%CLEAN SHEETS50%33%FAILED TO SCORE0%7.50CORNERS A GAME5.101.30CARDS A GAME1.601.93xG2.491.43xG AGAINST1.01

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.27POINTS A GAME2.67+1.55GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00+5.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.62.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.411LEAGUE GAMES9

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

80%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 85/90

SLAVIA PRAGUE OR DRAW

70%

NO · 80/85

ARSENAL OR DRAW

66%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SLAVIA PRAGUExARSENAL

6GAMES51.83SCORED A GAME1.000.83CONCEDED A GAME0.602.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.683%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%67%BOTH SCORE0%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3

SLAVIA PRAGUE 0 · 0%DRAW 1ARSENAL 2 · 67%

1 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-04-08Slavia Prague 1 – 1 Arsenal

2021-04-15Slavia Prague 0 – 4 Arsenal

2025-11-04Slavia Prague 0 – 3 Arsenal

TEAM NEWS

SLAVIA PRAGUE

Out: T. Chory (Coach's decision), H. Kante (Off the roster), O. Kolar (Off the roster), I. Ogbu (Achilles Tendon Injury), A. Ouanda (Injury), I. Schranz (Illness)

ARSENAL

Out: B. Saka (Thigh Injury), W. Saliba (Back Injury), B. Saka (Thigh Injury), W. Saliba (Back Injury)

TRENDS

Slavia Prague have scored in 80% of their games.

Arsenal have scored in 90% of their games.

Slavia Prague kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Arsenal kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards