Match details. Goiano, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. Vila Nova FC GO have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. Alianca FC GO have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L.
The numbers. Vila Nova FC GO score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Vila Nova FC GO average 17.0 shots (5.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.1 cards a game. Alianca FC GO score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Alianca FC GO average 8.8 shots (4.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.1 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Vila Nova FC GO 1-1 Alianca FC GO (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Vila Nova FC GO the favourite), a tight game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).