Hualian WFT vs Taichung Cherry Blossoms
Match details. Mulan Football League, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 08:30 Lagos time.
Form. Hualian WFT have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W W. Taichung Cherry Blossoms have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D L L.
The numbers. Hualian WFT score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Hualian WFT average 5.3 shots (3.1 on target), 1.7 corners and 0.3 cards a game. Taichung Cherry Blossoms score 0.7 and concede 1.7 a game in their last seven away, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Taichung Cherry Blossoms average 10.0 shots (5.6 on target), 4.1 corners and 0.2 cards a game.
The case against. Hualian WFT's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Taichung Cherry Blossoms to win. A tight game. Taichung Cherry Blossoms are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Taichung Cherry Blossoms. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Hualian WFT 0-1 Taichung Cherry Blossoms (10% chance).
The agreed story. Taichung Cherry Blossoms or the draw, a tight game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).