Match details. Mulan Football League, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 08:30 Lagos time.
Form. AC Taipei have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L L L. Taipei Xiongzan have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten league games, 0.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D L L.
The numbers. AC Taipei score 1.7 and concede two a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. AC Taipei average 7.8 shots (4.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 0.1 cards a game. Taipei Xiongzan score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Taipei Xiongzan average 2.9 shots (1.3 on target), 1.6 corners and 0.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 81% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: AC Taipei are the better side, but not at this price. AC Taipei are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AC Taipei.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: AC Taipei 1-1 Taipei Xiongzan (12% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (AC Taipei the favourite), goals in between.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).