Palmeira FC RN vs Mossoro
Match details. Potiguar, 2. Divisao. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. Palmeira FC RN have won three, drawn one and lost none of their last four league games, 2.5 points a game. Their last four in the league, newest first: W D W W. Mossoro have won one, drawn one and lost five of their last seven league games, 0.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L D L L.
The numbers. Palmeira FC RN score 1.5 and concede none a game over their last four, with four clean sheets. Palmeira FC RN average 9.7 shots (3.7 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Mossoro score 0.9 and concede 1.9 a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Mossoro average 6.8 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 74% against the records' 51%.
The read. No firm call: Palmeira FC RN are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Palmeira FC RN are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Palmeira FC RN. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Palmeira FC RN 1-1 Mossoro (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Palmeira FC RN the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).