KV Kortrijk vs Yellow-Red KV Mechelen

Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Guldensporenstadion, Kortrijk. The referee is B. Van Driessche.

What's at stake. KV Kortrijk are 18th on 4 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Cercle Brugge. A win would take them above Cercle Brugge. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen are 14th on 9 points after 9 games, level on points with OH Leuven, 1 point clear of St. Truiden. A win would take them above OH Leuven.

Form. KV Kortrijk have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L.

The numbers. KV Kortrijk score 0.5 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. KV Kortrijk average 7.8 shots (2.1 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen average 8.5 shots (3.6 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings KV Kortrijk have won one, drawn one and lost seven. Eight of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, KV Kortrijk won one and Yellow-Red KV Mechelen won three. The last time they met, on 29 Nov 2024, it finished KV Kortrijk 3-1 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: KV Kortrijk had 11 shots to 8, 32% of the ball, four yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 33% against the records' 58%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Not everything agrees on goals: eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The read. No firm call: Yellow-Red KV Mechelen are the better side, but not at this price. A draw is live. A tight game. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Yellow-Red KV Mechelen; the meetings favour Yellow-Red KV Mechelen. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.40, 74% on the records (KV Kortrijk: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9; Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 9). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Yellow-Red KV Mechelen Over 0.5 goals (Yellow-Red KV Mechelen's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); KV Kortrijk Under 1.5 goals (Yellow-Red KV Mechelen's own games don't back it (3 of 9)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: KV Kortrijk 1-1 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen (13% chance).