S.C. Rio Tinto vs Gil Vicente FC
Match details. II Divisao, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. S.C. Rio Tinto have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D. Gil Vicente FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D.
The numbers. S.C. Rio Tinto score 2.3 and concede one a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. S.C. Rio Tinto average 13.6 shots (7.3 on target), 7.9 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Gil Vicente FC score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Gil Vicente FC average 8.4 shots (3.6 on target), 2.3 corners and 1.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 15% against the records' 40%.
The read. No firm call: S.C. Rio Tinto are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make S.C. Rio Tinto the likelier winners; S.C. Rio Tinto are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 76%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: S.C. Rio Tinto 2-1 Gil Vicente FC (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (S.C. Rio Tinto the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).