Match details. Liga Premier Serie A. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Canoneros Marina have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. ACF Zapotlanejo have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. Canoneros Marina score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Canoneros Marina average 3.0 corners and 0.5 cards a game. ACF Zapotlanejo score two and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. ACF Zapotlanejo average 15.9 shots (6.9 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Canoneros Marina's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. ACF Zapotlanejo to win. An open game. ACF Zapotlanejo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour ACF Zapotlanejo. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: ACF Zapotlanejo or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); ACF Zapotlanejo Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Canoneros Marina 1-2 ACF Zapotlanejo (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).