Hammarby IF vs IF Elfsborg
Match details. Allsvenskan. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Hammarby IF have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. IF Elfsborg have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D W.
The numbers. Hammarby IF score 1.7 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Hammarby IF average 6.8 corners and 1.3 cards a game. IF Elfsborg score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. IF Elfsborg average 5.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 70% against the records' 42%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No firm call: Hammarby IF are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Hammarby IF the likelier winners; Hammarby IF are the stronger side on form and the table. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 74% on the records (Hammarby IF: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9; IF Elfsborg: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Full cover: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.22. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Hammarby IF 2-1 IF Elfsborg (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).